Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- James Vick enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Francisco Trinaldo (53.5%).
- James Vick has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
James VickL4 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Aug 18L
KOvs Dan Hooker · Jul 19L
KOvs Niko Price · Oct 19 Francisco Trinaldo
oldest →W
KOvs Jai Herbert · Jul 20L
vs Muslim Salikhov · Jun 21W
vs Dwight Grant · Oct 21W
vs Danny Roberts · May 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
James VickMetricFrancisco Trinaldo
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.82evenly matched on net striking+0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
James VickFrancisco Trinaldo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
James Vick(10 fights)Francisco Trinaldo(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -119.6|Blue +119.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -7.0|Blue +7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
James VickTargetFrancisco Trinaldo
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Francisco Trinaldo rounds
Round 1James Vick edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:12
Knockdowns1
7Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:09Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2James Vick edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns1
Control0:15
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:21Control
Round 3James Vick edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
