Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joseph Benavidez enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Henry Cejudo enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Joseph Benavidez (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joseph BenavidezL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Dustin Ortiz · Jan 19W
KOvs Jussier Formiga · Jun 19L
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Feb 20L
SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Jul 20L
vs Askar Askarov · Mar 21 Henry CejudoL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Dominick Cruz · May 20L
vs Aljamain Sterling · May 23L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Feb 24L
vs Payton Talbott · Dec 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joseph BenavidezMetricHenry Cejudo
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.85evenly matched on net striking-0.01
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Joseph BenavidezHenry Cejudo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joseph Benavidez(10 fights)Henry Cejudo(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -75.1|Blue +75.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +77.0|Blue -77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Joseph BenavidezTargetHenry Cejudo
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Henry Cejudo edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:01
Knockdowns0
21Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:06Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:00
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:00
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
