Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Edson Barboza has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jalin Turner (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Edson BarbozaL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Bryce Mitchell · Mar 22W
KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Apr 23W
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Oct 23L
vs Lerone Murphy · May 24L
vs Drakkar Klose · Aug 25 Jalin TurnerL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Mateusz Gamrot · Mar 23W
KOvs King Green · Dec 23L
KOvs Renato Moicano · Apr 24L
SUBvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Mar 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Edson BarbozaMetricJalin Turner
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.54Δ 1.79 — meaningful gap+1.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Edson BarbozaJalin Turner
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Edson Barboza(10 fights)Jalin Turner(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -27.1|Blue +27.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -161.0|Blue +161.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Edson BarbozaTargetJalin Turner
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jalin Turner edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:07
Knockdowns0
39Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:38Control
2Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
