Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Sarafian enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Daniel Sarafian is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Antonio Dos Santos has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Daniel Sarafian has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Antonio Dos Santos has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daniel SarafianL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Eddie Mendez · Jun 13L
vs Cezar Ferreira · Nov 13L
SUBvs Kiichi Kunimoto · Jun 14L
KOvs Oluwale Bamgbose · Feb 16 Antonio Dos Santos
oldest →L
KOvs Scott Askham · Jun 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daniel SarafianMetricAntonio Dos Santos
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.87Δ 2.33 — meaningful gap+1.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Daniel SarafianAntonio Dos Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daniel Sarafian(6 fights)Antonio Dos Santos(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +135.6|Blue -135.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.6|Blue +48.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Daniel SarafianTargetAntonio Dos Santos
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Antonio Dos Santos rounds
Round 1Antonio Dos Santos edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:19
Knockdowns0
32Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:17Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
