Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Philipe Lins enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Philipe Lins has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Philipe Lins has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcin PrachnioL2 streak
oldest →W
vs William Knight · Feb 23L
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · Jul 23L
SUBvs Modestas Bukauskas · Jul 24L
SUBvs Jimmy Crute · Jul 25 Philipe LinsW3 streak
oldest →L
vs Andrei Arlovski · May 20L
KOvs Tanner Boser · Jun 20W
KOvs Ovince Saint Preux · Feb 23W
vs Maxim Grishin · Jun 23W
vs Ion Cutelaba · Mar 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcin PrachnioMetricPhilipe Lins
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.37Δ 2.16 — meaningful gap+0.21
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Marcin PrachnioPhilipe Lins
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcin Prachnio(10 fights)Philipe Lins(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -22.4|Blue +22.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.5|Blue -1.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -364.0|Blue +364.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Marcin PrachnioTargetPhilipe Lins
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Marcin Prachnio edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns0
Control0:28
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:00Control
Round 2Philipe Lins edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns0
Control1:14
33Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:25Control
Round 3Philipe Lins edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:11
17Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
3:03Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
