Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mark De La Rosa enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Raulian Paiva has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Raulian Paiva has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mark De La RosaL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Elias Garcia · Jul 18W
vs Joby Sanchez · Nov 18L
vs Kai Kara-France · Aug 19L
vs Jordan Espinosa · Jun 20 Raulian PaivaL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Rogerio Bontorin · Aug 19W
DECvs Zhalgas Zhamagulov · Jul 20W
vs Kyler Phillips · Jul 21L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Dec 21L
vs Sergey Morozov · Jun 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mark De La RosaMetricRaulian Paiva
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.87evenly matched on net striking-0.87
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mark De La RosaRaulian Paiva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mark De La Rosa(7 fights)Raulian Paiva(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -44.0|Blue +44.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -21.0|Blue +21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mark De La RosaTargetRaulian Paiva
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:06Control
Round 2Raulian Paiva edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
35Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:41Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
