Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bryan Battle enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Bryan Battle has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors AJ Fletcher (52.9%).
- Bryan Battle has a 25cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bryan BattleW3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Takashi Sato · Aug 22L
vs Rinat Fakhretdinov · Dec 22W
KOvs Gabe Green · May 23W
KOvs Kevin Jousset · Sep 24 AJ Fletcher
oldest →L
vs Matthew Semelsberger · Mar 22W
SUBvs Themba Gorimbo · Feb 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bryan BattleMetricAJ Fletcher
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.01Δ 2.26 — meaningful gap-1.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Bryan BattleAJ Fletcher
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bryan Battle(8 fights)AJ Fletcher(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +27.5|Blue -27.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -84.0|Blue +84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Bryan BattleTargetAJ Fletcher
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Bryan Battle edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
Round 2Bryan Battle edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns1
Control3:30
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:24Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
