Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Max Holloway is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Alexander Volkanovski has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Max Holloway
oldest →W
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Apr 24L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Oct 24W
vs Dustin Poirier · Jul 25L
vs Charles Oliveira · Mar 26W
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jul 26 Alexander VolkanovskiW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Yair Rodriguez · Jul 23L
KOvs Islam Makhachev · Oct 23L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Feb 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Max HollowayMetricAlexander Volkanovski
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.30evenly matched on net striking+2.68
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Max HollowayAlexander Volkanovski
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Max Holloway(10 fights)Alexander Volkanovski(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -3.2|Blue +3.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -77.0|Blue +77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Max HollowayTargetAlexander Volkanovski
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Alexander Volkanovski rounds
Round 1Alexander Volkanovski edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:13Control
Round 2Alexander Volkanovski edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:00
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Alexander Volkanovski edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:00
35Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Even round
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns0
Control0:00
36Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:10Control
Round 5Max Holloway edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns0
Control0:02
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:21Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
