Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Scott Jorgensen enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Scott Jorgensen has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Scott JorgensenL5 streak
oldest →L
vs Zach Makovsky · Dec 13L
SUBvs Jussier Formiga · Mar 14L
SUBvs Wilson Reis · Oct 14L
vs Manvel Gamburyan · Jul 15L
KOvs Alejandro Perez · Nov 15 Danny Martinez
oldest →L
vs Chris Cariaso · Feb 14L
vs Sirwan Kakai · Jun 15W
vs Richie Vaculik · Nov 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Scott JorgensenMetricDanny Martinez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.04evenly matched on net striking-1.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Scott JorgensenDanny Martinez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Scott Jorgensen(10 fights)Danny Martinez(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -134.7|Blue +134.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.1|Blue -2.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Scott JorgensenTargetDanny Martinez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Scott Jorgensen edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns4
Control3:21
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Round 2Danny Martinez edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns2
Control1:18
Knockdowns0
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:49Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Scott Jorgensen edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns4
Control2:40
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:18Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
