Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Louis Smolka enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Louis Smolka is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Jose Quinonez has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Jose Quinonez has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jose Quinonez (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Louis SmolkaL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Matt Schnell · Mar 19W
KOvs Ryan MacDonald · Sep 19L
SUBvs Casey Kenney · May 20L
KOvs Vince Morales · Dec 21L
KOvs Davey Grant · May 22 Jose Quinonez
oldest →W
vs Teruto Ishihara · Feb 18L
SUBvs Nathaniel Wood · Mar 19W
vs Carlos Huachin · Sep 19L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Mar 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Louis SmolkaMetricJose Quinonez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.56evenly matched on net striking+0.60
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Louis SmolkaJose Quinonez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Louis Smolka(10 fights)Jose Quinonez(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +32.3|Blue -32.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.5|Blue -1.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -84.0|Blue +84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Louis SmolkaTargetJose Quinonez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Louis Smolka edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns2
Control0:30
32Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:10Control
Round 2Louis Smolka edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns1
Control0:39
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:21Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
