Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Efrain Escudero has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Efrain EscuderoL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Leonardo Santos · Sep 14W
vs Rodrigo de Lima · Feb 15W
SUBvs Drew Dober · Jun 15L
vs Leandro Silva · Nov 15 Charles OliveiraW2 streak
oldest →L
vs Arman Tsarukyan · Apr 24W
vs Michael Chandler · Nov 24L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Jun 25W
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Oct 25W
vs Max Holloway · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Efrain EscuderoMetricCharles Oliveira
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.62evenly matched on net striking+0.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Efrain EscuderoCharles Oliveira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Efrain Escudero(9 fights)Charles Oliveira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -164.5|Blue +164.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +64.0|Blue -64.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Efrain EscuderoTargetCharles Oliveira
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control1:47
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:21Control
Round 2Charles Oliveira edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:41
16Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:14Control
Round 3Charles Oliveira edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:20
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:28Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
