Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josh EmmettL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Yair Rodriguez · Feb 23L
vs Ilia Topuria · Jun 23W
KOvs Bryce Mitchell · Dec 23L
SUBvs Youssef Zalal · Oct 25L
KOvs Kevin Vallejos · Mar 26 Lerone Murphy
oldest →W
vs Josh Culibao · Jul 23W
vs Edson Barboza · May 24W
KOvs Aaron Pico · Aug 25L
vs Movsar Evloev · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josh EmmettMetricLerone Murphy
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.85Δ 2.54 — meaningful gap+1.69
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Josh EmmettLerone Murphy
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josh Emmett(10 fights)Lerone Murphy(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -72.7|Blue +72.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +315.0|Blue -315.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Josh EmmettTargetLerone Murphy
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Josh Emmett edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control0:05
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns2
Control1:50
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
Round 3Lerone Murphy edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control1:01
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Lerone Murphy edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:28
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 5Lerone Murphy edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:15
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
