Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jake Matthews
oldest →W
vs Francisco Prado · Feb 25W
SUBvs Chidi Njokuani · Jul 25L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Sep 25W
DECvs Carlston Harris · May 26 Anthony Rocco Martin
oldest →L
vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier · Sep 17W
vs Keita Nakamura · Apr 18W
KOvs Ryan LaFlare · Oct 18W
vs Sergio Moraes · Mar 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jake MatthewsMetricAnthony Rocco Martin
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.72evenly matched on net striking+0.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jake MatthewsAnthony Rocco Martin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jake Matthews(10 fights)Anthony Rocco Martin(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +29.9|Blue -29.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +105.0|Blue -105.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jake MatthewsTargetAnthony Rocco Martin
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Anthony Rocco Martin rounds
Round 1Jake Matthews edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:25
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:01Control
Round 2Anthony Rocco Martin edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Anthony Rocco Martin edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:14
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:10Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
