Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Hugo Viana has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Reuben Duran has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Reuben Duran
oldest →L
vs Takeya Mizugaki · Mar 11W
SUBvs Francisco Rivera · Jun 11 Hugo VianaL2 streak
oldest →W
vs John Teixeira · Jun 12L
KOvs TJ Dillashaw · Apr 13W
DECvs Junior Hernandez · Jan 14L
KOvs Aljamain Sterling · Jul 14L
vs Guido Cannetti · Aug 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Reuben DuranMetricHugo Viana
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.58evenly matched on net striking-0.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Reuben DuranHugo Viana
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Reuben Duran(4 fights)Hugo Viana(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -3.1|Blue +3.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.2|Blue -2.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +385.0|Blue -385.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Reuben DuranTargetHugo Viana
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Hugo Viana edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:22
Knockdowns0
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:38Control
3Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
