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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Chris Weidman won · U-DEC R3

Elo1494

Elo1453

Chris WeidmanvsBruno SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · Saturday, March 30, 2024Atlantic City, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Chris Weidman won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 2:18

Style matchupChris Weidman: WrestlervsBruno Silva: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Chris Weidman wins(60.4%)

Actual result: Chris Weidman wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chris Weidman at +145 American odds

+$145 profit

$245 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Chris Weidman enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Bruno Silva is a KO finisher (78% of wins). Chris Weidman has lost 88% of fights by KO.
Chris Weidman has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Chris Weidman has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Chris Weidman

Red Corner

Bruno Silva

Blue Corner

+145

(41%)

Vegas Odds

-175

(64%)

1494

Elo

1453

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'0"

198.12 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chris WeidmanL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Dominick Reyes · Oct 19

DECvs Omari Akhmedov · Aug 20

KOvs Uriah Hall · Apr 21

vs Brad Tavares · Aug 23

KOvs Eryk Anders · Dec 24

latest

Bruno SilvaL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · May 25

KOvs Joshua Van · Jun 25

SUBvs HyunSung Park · Oct 25

vs Charles Johnson · Mar 26

SUBvs Edgar Chairez · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chris WeidmanMetricBruno Silva

3.11

Strikes / min

3.86

3.37

Strikes absorbed / min

5.35

51%

Strike defense

41%

3.27

TDs / 15 min

0.77

72%

Takedown defense

74%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.26Δ 1.23 — meaningful gap-1.49

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Chris WeidmanBruno Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chris Weidman(10 fights)Bruno Silva(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +41.3|Blue -41.3

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red +63.0|Blue -63.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chris WeidmanTargetBruno Silva

By target zone

59% acc · 59%

Head

35% acc · 93%

74% acc · 19%

Body

50% acc · 7%

94% acc · 23%

Leg

0% acc

By position

64% acc · 75%

Distance

34% acc · 97%

71% acc · 7%

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

88% acc · 19%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chris Weidman rounds

even

Bruno Silva rounds

Round 1Chris Weidman edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns1

Control3:09

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Chris Weidman edged it

Sig. strikes45

Takedowns0

Control0:00

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Chris Weidman edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:06

Knockdowns1

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

75 / 111

Sig Strikes

30 / 88

64.7%

Sig Str %

40.3%

88 / 129

Total Strikes

30 / 88

1 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

25%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:15

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Bruno Silva	4 / 8	4 / 8	0 / 0
1	Chris Weidman	20 / 30	32 / 46	1 / 2
2	Bruno Silva	19 / 63	19 / 63	0 / 0
2	Chris Weidman	45 / 64	45 / 64	0 / 2
3	Bruno Silva	7 / 17	7 / 17	0 / 0
3	Chris Weidman	10 / 17	11 / 19	0 / 0

Chris Weidman

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights20

Bruno Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights23