Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dong Hyun Kim has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nate Diaz
oldest →L
vs Conor McGregor · Aug 16W
vs Anthony Pettis · Aug 19L
KOvs Jorge Masvidal · Nov 19L
vs Leon Edwards · Jun 21W
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Sep 22 Dong Hyun Kim
oldest →L
KOvs Tyron Woodley · Aug 14W
SUBvs Joshua Burkman · May 15W
KOvs Dominic Waters · Nov 15W
vs Tarec Saffiedine · Dec 16L
vs Colby Covington · Jun 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nate DiazMetricDong Hyun Kim
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.80evenly matched on net striking+0.23
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Nate DiazDong Hyun Kim
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nate Diaz(10 fights)Dong Hyun Kim(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +5.5|Blue -5.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -91.0|Blue +91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Nate DiazTargetDong Hyun Kim
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Dong Hyun Kim edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:30Control
Round 2Dong Hyun Kim edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:11
7Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:27Control
Round 3Nate Diaz edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns1
Control1:46
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:22Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
