Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Wilson Reis (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Wilson Reis
oldest →W
DECvs Ulka Sasaki · Feb 17L
SUBvs Demetrious Johnson · Apr 17L
KOvs Henry Cejudo · Sep 17L
KOvs Alexandre Pantoja · Apr 19 John Moraga
oldest →L
DECvs Matheus Nicolau · Jul 16L
vs Sergio Pettis · Jan 17W
vs Ashkan Mokhtarian · Jun 17W
KOvs Magomed Bibulatov · Oct 17L
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Aug 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Wilson ReisMetricJohn Moraga
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.21Δ 1.23 — meaningful gap+0.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Wilson ReisJohn Moraga
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Wilson Reis(10 fights)John Moraga(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +28.0|Blue -28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Wilson ReisTargetJohn Moraga
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1John Moraga edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns3
Control1:34
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:18Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns2
Control2:20
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:20Control
Round 3Wilson Reis edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns3
Control3:49
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
