Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ben Saunders enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Ben Saunders threatens submissions; Chris Heatherly has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Chris Heatherly has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Ben Saunders has a 23cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ben SaundersL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Jake Ellenberger · Jun 18L
SUBvs Sergio Moraes · Sep 18L
KOvs Lyman Good · Nov 18L
KOvs Takashi Sato · Apr 19L
KOvs Matt Brown · Dec 19 Chris Heatherly
oldest →L
KOvs Augusto Montano · Nov 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ben SaundersMetricChris Heatherly
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.35Δ 1.24 — meaningful gap-1.59
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ben SaundersChris Heatherly
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ben Saunders(10 fights)Chris Heatherly(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +24.9|Blue -24.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.1|Blue +48.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ben SaundersTargetChris Heatherly
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Chris Heatherly edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:44
4Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:14Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
