Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Christian Leroy Duncan enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Christian Leroy Duncan is a KO finisher (63% of wins). Marco Tulio has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Christian Leroy Duncan has 63pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Christian Leroy Duncan (52.9%).
- Christian Leroy Duncan has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Christian Leroy DuncanW4 streak
oldest →L
vs Gregory Rodrigues · Jul 24W
vs Andrey Pulyaev · Mar 25W
KOvs Eryk Anders · Aug 25W
vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 26W
DECvs Jared Cannonier · Jul 26 Marco Tulio
oldest →W
KOvs Ihor Potieria · Jan 25W
KOvs Tresean Gore · Apr 25L
DECvs Roman Kopylov · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Christian Leroy DuncanMetricMarco Tulio
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.84Δ 1.21 — meaningful gap+3.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Christian Leroy DuncanMarco Tulio
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Christian Leroy Duncan(10 fights)Marco Tulio(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +92.6|Blue -92.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -119.0|Blue +119.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Christian Leroy DuncanTargetMarco Tulio
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Christian Leroy Duncan rounds
Round 1Marco Tulio edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control1:01
8Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:31Control
Round 2Christian Leroy Duncan edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:09
Knockdowns1
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
0Knockdowns
