Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Warlley Alves enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Mounir Lazzez has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Warlley AlvesL5 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Randy Brown · Nov 19L
KOvs Jeremiah Wells · Jun 21L
vs Nicolas Dalby · Jan 23L
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Oct 23L
vs Abus Magomedov · May 24 Mounir Lazzez
oldest →W
vs Abdul Razak Alhassan · Jul 20L
SUBvs Gabriel Bonfim · Jan 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Warlley AlvesMetricMounir Lazzez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.91Δ 2.98 — meaningful gap+2.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Warlley AlvesMounir Lazzez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Warlley Alves(10 fights)Mounir Lazzez(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -6.4|Blue +6.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.6|Blue -1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +242.0|Blue -242.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Warlley AlvesTargetMounir Lazzez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Warlley Alves edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns1
Control1:36
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:42Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
