Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexander Volkov has a 18cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexander VolkovW2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Tai Tuivasa · Sep 23W
vs Sergei Pavlovich · Jun 24W
vs Jailton Almeida · Oct 25W
DECvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · May 26 Roy Nelson
oldest →L
vs Alistair Overeem · Mar 15L
vs Josh Barnett · Sep 15W
vs Jared Rosholt · Feb 16L
vs Derrick Lewis · Jul 16W
KOvs Antonio Silva · Sep 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexander VolkovMetricRoy Nelson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.94Δ 4.55 — meaningful gap-2.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alexander VolkovRoy Nelson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexander Volkov(10 fights)Roy Nelson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +44.7|Blue -44.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -56.0|Blue +56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alexander VolkovTargetRoy Nelson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Alexander Volkov edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control0:23
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:12Control
Round 2Alexander Volkov edged it
Sig. strikes45
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:07Control
Round 3Alexander Volkov edged it
Sig. strikes48
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:13Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
