Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jordan Wright enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Joaquin Buckley is a KO finisher (73% of wins). Jordan Wright has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Jordan Wright is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Joaquin Buckley has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Joaquin Buckley has 27pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jordan Wright has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Joaquin Buckley (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joaquin BuckleyL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Nursulton Ruziboev · May 24W
KOvs Stephen Thompson · Oct 24W
KOvs Colby Covington · Dec 24L
vs Kamaru Usman · Jun 25L
DECvs Sean Brady · May 26 Jordan WrightL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Jamie Pickett · May 21L
KOvs Bruno Silva · Dec 21L
SUBvs Marc-Andre Barriault · Apr 22L
KOvs Dusko Todorovic · Oct 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joaquin BuckleyMetricJordan Wright
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.52Δ 2.45 — meaningful gap-1.93
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Joaquin BuckleyJordan Wright
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joaquin Buckley(10 fights)Jordan Wright(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +67.4|Blue -67.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Joaquin BuckleyTargetJordan Wright
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Joaquin Buckley edged it
Sig. strikes36
Takedowns0
Control1:49
Knockdowns1
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Joaquin Buckley edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns1
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
