Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Donald Cerrone enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Myles Jury has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Donald Cerrone has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Donald CerroneL5 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Sep 19L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jan 20L
vs Anthony Pettis · May 20L
KOvs Alex Morono · May 21L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Jul 22 Myles JuryL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Dec 15W
KOvs Mike de la Torre · Apr 17L
KOvs Chad Mendes · Jul 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Donald CerroneMetricMyles Jury
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.07evenly matched on net striking+0.78
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Donald CerroneMyles Jury
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Donald Cerrone(10 fights)Myles Jury(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +57.9|Blue -57.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.5|Blue -1.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -7.0|Blue +7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Donald CerroneTargetMyles Jury
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Donald Cerrone edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control3:25
0Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:02Control
Round 2Donald Cerrone edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Donald Cerrone edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns1
Control0:16
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:59Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
