Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Johny Hendricks (53.5%).
- Jon Fitch has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jon Fitch
oldest →W
vs Ben Saunders · Mar 10W
vs Thiago Alves · Aug 10 Johny HendricksL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Jul 16W
vs Hector Lombard · Feb 17L
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Jun 17L
KOvs Paulo Costa · Nov 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jon FitchMetricJohny Hendricks
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.96Δ 1.46 — meaningful gap-0.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jon FitchJohny Hendricks
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jon Fitch(5 fights)Johny Hendricks(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +127.7|Blue -127.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +364.0|Blue -364.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jon FitchTargetJohny Hendricks
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Johny Hendricks edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
