Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Francisco Trinaldo (53.5%).
- Randy Brown has a 20cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Randy BrownL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Jun 24L
vs Bryan Battle · Dec 24W
KOvs Nicolas Dalby · Apr 25L
KOvs Gabriel Bonfim · Nov 25L
DECvs Kevin Holland · Apr 26 Francisco TrinaldoW2 streak
oldest →W
vs John Makdessi · Mar 20W
KOvs Jai Herbert · Jul 20L
vs Muslim Salikhov · Jun 21W
vs Dwight Grant · Oct 21W
vs Danny Roberts · May 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Randy BrownMetricFrancisco Trinaldo
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.04evenly matched on net striking+0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Randy BrownFrancisco Trinaldo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Randy Brown(10 fights)Francisco Trinaldo(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Randy BrownTargetFrancisco Trinaldo
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Francisco Trinaldo rounds
Round 1Randy Brown edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:38
Knockdowns1
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:04Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Randy Brown edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:50Control
Round 3Francisco Trinaldo edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:27Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
