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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Marcos Rogerio de Lima won · U-DEC R3

Elo1506

Elo1562

Marcos Rogerio de LimavsWaldo Cortes-AcostaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · Saturday, April 29, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Marcos Rogerio de Lima won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Waldo Cortes-Acosta wins(64.3%)

Actual result: Marcos Rogerio de Lima wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Waldo Cortes-Acosta at +146 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Waldo Cortes-Acosta enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Marcos Rogerio de Lima

Red Corner

Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Blue Corner

-174

(64%)

Vegas Odds

+146

(41%)

1506

Elo

1562

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'4"

190.5 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Marcos Rogerio de Lima

oldest →

KOvs Ben Rothwell · Nov 21

vs Blagoy Ivanov · May 22

SUBvs Andrei Arlovski · Oct 22

KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jul 23

KOvs Junior Tafa · Feb 24

latest

Waldo Cortes-AcostaW5 streak

oldest →

vs Jared Vanderaa · Oct 22

vs Chase Sherman · Nov 22

KOvs Lukasz Brzeski · Aug 23

vs Andrei Arlovski · Jan 24

vs Robelis Despaigne · May 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Marcos Rogerio de LimaMetricWaldo Cortes-Acosta

3.70

Strikes / min

—

2.90

Strikes absorbed / min

—

51%

Strike defense

—

1.40

TDs / 15 min

—

59%

Takedown defense

—

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Marcos Rogerio de LimaWaldo Cortes-Acosta

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Marcos Rogerio de Lima(10 fights)Waldo Cortes-Acosta(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -55.6|Blue +55.6

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +21.0|Blue -21.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Marcos Rogerio de Lima

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights17

Waldo Cortes-Acosta

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights3