Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Johnny Eduardo enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Raphael Assuncao has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Johnny Eduardo has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raphael Assuncao
oldest →L
vs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 19L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Jun 20L
KOvs Ricky Simon · Dec 21W
vs Victor Henry · Oct 22L
SUBvs Davey Grant · Mar 23 Johnny EduardoL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Aljamain Sterling · Dec 15W
KOvs Manvel Gamburyan · Nov 16L
KOvs Matthew Lopez · Jun 17L
SUBvs Nathaniel Wood · Jun 18L
SUBvs Alejandro Perez · Oct 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raphael AssuncaoMetricJohnny Eduardo
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.72evenly matched on net striking-0.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Raphael AssuncaoJohnny Eduardo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raphael Assuncao(10 fights)Johnny Eduardo(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +86.7|Blue -86.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Raphael AssuncaoTargetJohnny Eduardo
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Raphael Assuncao edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns1
Control1:34
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Raphael Assuncao edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control2:05
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Round 3Raphael Assuncao edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control1:17
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
