Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Gerald Meerschaert threatens submissions; Ryan Janes has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Ryan Janes has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gerald Meerschaert (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gerald MeerschaertL5 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Nov 24L
vs Brad Tavares · Apr 25L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 25L
SUBvs Kyle Daukaus · Nov 25L
DECvs Jacob Malkoun · May 26 Ryan Janes
oldest →W
vs Keith Berish · Dec 16L
vs Jack Marshman · Jul 17W
KOvs Andrew Sanchez · Dec 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gerald MeerschaertMetricRyan Janes
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.49Δ 2.65 — meaningful gap+2.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Gerald MeerschaertRyan Janes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gerald Meerschaert(10 fights)Ryan Janes(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -34.3|Blue +34.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Gerald MeerschaertTargetRyan Janes
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Gerald Meerschaert rounds
Round 1Ryan Janes edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
3Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:18Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
