Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Renato Moicano threatens submissions; Drew Dober has lost 36% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Drew Dober (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Renato Moicano
oldest →W
KOvs Jalin Turner · Apr 24W
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Sep 24L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jan 25L
vs Beneil Dariush · Jun 25W
SUBvs Chris Duncan · Apr 26 Drew DoberW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Ricky Glenn · Oct 23L
KOvs Jean Silva · Jul 24L
KOvs Manuel Torres · Mar 25W
KOvs Kyle Prepolec · Oct 25W
KOvs Michael Johnson · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Renato MoicanoMetricDrew Dober
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.55evenly matched on net striking+0.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Renato MoicanoDrew Dober
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Renato Moicano(10 fights)Drew Dober(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +8.8|Blue -8.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +329.0|Blue -329.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Renato MoicanoTargetDrew Dober
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Renato Moicano edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control3:48
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Round 2Renato Moicano edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns2
Control3:19
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:01Control
Round 3Renato Moicano edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control3:26
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
