Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Antonio Trocoli enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mantas Kondratavicius has 31pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Mantas Kondratavicius has 49pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Antonio Trocoli has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mantas KondrataviciusNo prior UFC fights on record.
Antonio TrocoliL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Shara Magomedov · Jun 24L
SUBvs Tresean Gore · Nov 24L
SUBvs Mansur Abdul-Malik · Dec 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mantas KondrataviciusMetricAntonio Trocoli
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+3.67Δ 7.70 — meaningful gap-4.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mantas KondrataviciusAntonio Trocoli
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mantas Kondratavicius(1 fights)Antonio Trocoli(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +88.1|Blue -88.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +49.7|Blue -49.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +49.7|Blue -49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mantas KondrataviciusTargetAntonio Trocoli
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Mantas Kondratavicius rounds
Round 1Mantas Kondratavicius edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns0
Control1:52
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:33Control
Round 2Mantas Kondratavicius edged it
Sig. strikes39
Takedowns1
Control3:37
Knockdowns1
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
0Knockdowns
Round 3Antonio Trocoli edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control0:37
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:22Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
