Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Warlley Alves enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Alan Jouban has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alan Jouban (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Warlley AlvesL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Mounir Lazzez · Jan 21L
KOvs Jeremiah Wells · Jun 21L
vs Nicolas Dalby · Jan 23L
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Oct 23L
vs Abus Magomedov · May 24 Alan Jouban
oldest →L
SUBvs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 17L
KOvs Niko Price · Aug 17W
KOvs Ben Saunders · Feb 18L
vs Dwight Grant · Apr 19W
vs Jared Gooden · Nov 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Warlley AlvesMetricAlan Jouban
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.91Δ 2.81 — meaningful gap+1.90
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Warlley AlvesAlan Jouban
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Warlley Alves(10 fights)Alan Jouban(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -3.7|Blue +3.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +77.0|Blue -77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Warlley AlvesTargetAlan Jouban
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Warlley Alves edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control2:07
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:31Control
Round 2Warlley Alves edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control1:52
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Alan Jouban edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:03
45Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
