Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Julian Marquez enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Alessio Di Chirico is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Julian Marquez has lost 80% of fights by KO.
- Alessio Di Chirico has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Alessio Di Chirico has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alessio Di ChiricoL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Makhmud Muradov · Sep 19L
vs Zak Cummings · Aug 20W
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Jan 21L
KOvs Abdul Razak Alhassan · Aug 21L
KOvs Roman Kopylov · Sep 22 Julian MarquezL4 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Sam Alvey · Apr 21L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Jun 22L
KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · Mar 23L
KOvs Zachary Reese · Jun 24L
KOvs Cody Brundage · Mar 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alessio Di ChiricoMetricJulian Marquez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.12evenly matched on net striking-0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alessio Di ChiricoJulian Marquez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alessio Di Chirico(10 fights)Julian Marquez(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -47.0|Blue +47.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.7|Blue -2.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alessio Di ChiricoTargetJulian Marquez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Alessio Di Chirico rounds
Round 1Alessio Di Chirico edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns1
Control0:17
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Alessio Di Chirico edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns2
Control2:36
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Alessio Di Chirico edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns1
Control1:06
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
