Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Malcolm Gordon enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Francisco Figueiredo threatens submissions; Malcolm Gordon has lost 60% of fights by sub.
- Francisco Figueiredo has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Francisco Figueiredo has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Malcolm Gordon (54.1%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Francisco Figueiredo
oldest →W
vs Jerome Rivera · Jan 21W
SUBvs Daniel Lacerda · Apr 22L
SUBvs Amir Albazi · Aug 22 Malcolm GordonL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Su Mudaerji · Nov 20W
KOvs Denys Bondar · Feb 22L
SUBvs Muhammad Mokaev · Oct 22L
KOvs Jake Hadley · Mar 23L
SUBvs Jimmy Flick · Jan 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Francisco FigueiredoMetricMalcolm Gordon
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.55Δ 1.05 — meaningful gap+0.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Francisco FigueiredoMalcolm Gordon
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Francisco Figueiredo(4 fights)Malcolm Gordon(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +4.3|Blue -4.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +2.0|Blue -2.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -53.0|Blue +53.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Francisco FigueiredoTargetMalcolm Gordon
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Francisco Figueiredo rounds
Round 1Malcolm Gordon edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control2:46
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:48Control
Round 2Malcolm Gordon edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:15
22Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:47Control
Round 3Malcolm Gordon edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns2
Control1:14
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:26Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
