Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nick Hein enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Nick Hein has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Drew Dober has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nick HeinL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Yusuke Kasuya · Sep 15W
vs Tae Hyun Bang · Sep 16L
SUBvs Davi Ramos · May 18L
vs Damir Hadzovic · Jul 18L
KOvs Frank Camacho · Jun 19 Drew DoberW2 streak
oldest →L
vs Renato Moicano · Feb 24L
KOvs Jean Silva · Jul 24L
KOvs Manuel Torres · Mar 25W
KOvs Kyle Prepolec · Oct 25W
KOvs Michael Johnson · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nick HeinMetricDrew Dober
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.96Δ 1.11 — meaningful gap+0.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Nick HeinDrew Dober
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nick Hein(8 fights)Drew Dober(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -140.5|Blue +140.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Nick HeinTargetDrew Dober
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Nick Hein edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns2
Control2:22
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:15Control
Round 2Drew Dober edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control1:55
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:35Control
Round 3Nick Hein edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:09Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
