Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Hacran Dias enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Nik Lentz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Hacran Dias has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Hacran DiasL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Darren Elkins · Dec 14W
vs Levan Makashvili · Jun 15L
vs Jared Gordon · Oct 17 Nik LentzL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Gray Maynard · Oct 18W
vs Scott Holtzman · Feb 19L
KOvs Charles Oliveira · May 19L
vs Arnold Allen · Jan 20L
vs Movsar Evloev · Jan 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Hacran DiasMetricNik Lentz
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.23Δ 1.42 — meaningful gap+0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Hacran DiasNik Lentz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Hacran Dias(8 fights)Nik Lentz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -32.5|Blue +32.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -3.1|Blue +3.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +210.0|Blue -210.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Hacran DiasTargetNik Lentz
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Nik Lentz edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:33
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:17Control
Round 2Nik Lentz edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:04
Knockdowns0
23Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
4:30Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Hacran Dias edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns1
Control3:03
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:42Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
