Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Court McGee has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Carlos Condit
oldest →L
SUBvs Alex Oliveira · Apr 18L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Dec 18 Court McGee
oldest →L
KOvs Jeremiah Wells · Jun 22L
KOvs Matt Brown · May 23W
SUBvs Tim Means · Oct 24L
vs Michael Chiesa · Jun 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Carlos ConditMetricCourt McGee
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.99evenly matched on net striking+0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Carlos ConditCourt McGee
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Carlos Condit(10 fights)Court McGee(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +293.0|Blue -293.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Carlos ConditTargetCourt McGee
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Court McGee edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns1
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Carlos Condit edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns0
Control0:00
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Carlos Condit edged it
Sig. strikes43
Takedowns0
Control0:02
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
