Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tim Elliott (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tim Elliott
oldest →W
vs Victor Altamirano · Jun 23L
SUBvs Muhammad Mokaev · Oct 23W
SUBvs Sumudaerji · Dec 23W
SUBvs Kai Asakura · Aug 25L
DECvs Steve Erceg · May 26 Jordan Espinosa
oldest →W
vs Eric Shelton · Mar 19L
SUBvs Matt Schnell · Aug 19L
SUBvs Alex Perez · Jan 20W
vs Mark De La Rosa · Jun 20L
vs David Dvorak · Sep 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tim ElliottMetricJordan Espinosa
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.51evenly matched on net striking+1.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Tim ElliottJordan Espinosa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tim Elliott(10 fights)Jordan Espinosa(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +103.2|Blue -103.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.2|Blue -2.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +66.0|Blue -66.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Tim ElliottTargetJordan Espinosa
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Tim Elliott edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control3:57
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Tim Elliott edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns2
Control4:35
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Tim Elliott edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control4:47
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
