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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Julia Avila won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1491

Julia AvilavsPannie KianzadUFC Prediction Result

UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · Saturday, July 6, 2019Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Julia Avila won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Julia Avila wins(52.8%)

Actual result: Julia Avila wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Julia Avila at -250 American odds

+$40 profit

$140 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Pannie Kianzad enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Julia Avila

Red Corner

Pannie Kianzad

Blue Corner

-250

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+210

(32%)

1490

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'7"

172.72 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Julia AvilaL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Gina Mazany · Jun 20

vs Sijara Eubanks · Sep 20

SUBvs Julija Stoliarenko · Jun 21

SUBvs Miesha Tate · Dec 23

vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti · Feb 25

latest

Pannie KianzadL3 streak

oldest →

vs Raquel Pennington · Sep 21

vs Lina Lansberg · Apr 22

vs Ketlen Vieira · Jul 23

SUBvs Macy Chiasson · Mar 24

vs Karol Rosa · Aug 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Julia AvilaMetricPannie Kianzad

2.81

Strikes / min

4.88

3.28

Strikes absorbed / min

4.09

55%

Strike defense

51%

0.63

TDs / 15 min

0.41

52%

Takedown defense

65%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.47Δ 1.26 — meaningful gap+0.79

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Julia AvilaPannie Kianzad

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Julia Avila(6 fights)Pannie Kianzad(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +50.0|Blue -50.0

Grappler Score

Red +50.0|Blue -50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Julia AvilaTargetPannie Kianzad

By target zone

31% acc · 61%

Head

36% acc · 79%

69% acc · 22%

Body

50% acc · 9%

80% acc · 16%

Leg

100% acc · 12%

By position

30% acc · 57%

Distance

36% acc · 76%

74% acc · 35%

Clinch

54% acc · 21%

67% acc · 8%

Ground

100% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Julia Avila rounds

even

Pannie Kianzad rounds

Round 1Julia Avila edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control1:22

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:47Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:40

14Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:49Control

Round 3Julia Avila edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control3:44

Knockdowns1

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

49 / 122

Sig Strikes

33 / 83

40%

Sig Str %

34.3%

66 / 142

Total Strikes

39 / 95

0 / 1

TDs

1 / 2

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

5:46

Ctrl Time

2:43

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Pannie Kianzad	17 / 33	18 / 36	0 / 0
1	Julia Avila	20 / 38	32 / 52	0 / 0
2	Pannie Kianzad	14 / 38	17 / 44	1 / 2
2	Julia Avila	18 / 51	19 / 52	0 / 1
3	Pannie Kianzad	2 / 12	4 / 15	0 / 0
3	Julia Avila	11 / 33	15 / 38	0 / 0

Julia Avila

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights6

Pannie Kianzad

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights11