Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ryan Janes has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jack MarshmanL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Antonio Carlos Junior · Oct 17L
vs Karl Roberson · Nov 18W
vs John Phillips · Mar 19L
SUBvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Jul 19L
vs Sean Strickland · Oct 20 Ryan Janes
oldest →W
vs Keith Berish · Dec 16L
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Feb 17W
KOvs Andrew Sanchez · Dec 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jack MarshmanMetricRyan Janes
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.45Δ 3.61 — meaningful gap+2.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jack MarshmanRyan Janes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jack Marshman(8 fights)Ryan Janes(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -100.1|Blue +100.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jack MarshmanTargetRyan Janes
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:00
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
Round 2Jack Marshman edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:30Control
Round 3Ryan Janes edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns0
Control0:00
40Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
