Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Brown is a KO finisher (77% of wins). Erick Silva has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Erick Silva threatens submissions; Matt Brown has lost 42% of fights by sub.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt Brown
oldest →L
KOvs Miguel Baeza · May 20L
vs Carlos Condit · Jan 21W
KOvs Dhiego Lima · Jun 21L
vs Bryan Barberena · Mar 22W
KOvs Court McGee · May 23 Erick SilvaL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Nordine Taleb · Mar 16W
SUBvs Luan Chagas · Sep 16L
KOvs Yancy Medeiros · Jun 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt BrownMetricErick Silva
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.84Δ 2.52 — meaningful gap-1.68
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Matt BrownErick Silva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Brown(10 fights)Erick Silva(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +135.5|Blue -135.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +182.0|Blue -182.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Matt BrownTargetErick Silva
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Matt Brown edged it
Sig. strikes40
Takedowns3
Control0:48
Knockdowns0
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:32Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Matt Brown edged it
Sig. strikes54
Takedowns1
Control1:34
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:15Control
Round 3Matt Brown edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns1
Control1:26
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
