Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bryan Barberena enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Chad Laprise has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Chad Laprise has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Bryan Barberena (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chad LapriseL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Thibault Gouti · Aug 16W
KOvs Brian Camozzi · Jul 17W
KOvs Galore Bofando · Dec 17L
KOvs Vicente Luque · May 18L
KOvs Dhiego Lima · Dec 18 Bryan BarberenaL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Robbie Lawler · Jul 22L
SUBvs Rafael Dos Anjos · Dec 22L
SUBvs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 23L
vs Makhmud Muradov · Jul 23L
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Mar 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chad LapriseMetricBryan Barberena
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.19evenly matched on net striking+0.76
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Chad LapriseBryan Barberena
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chad Laprise(10 fights)Bryan Barberena(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -122.2|Blue +122.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.3|Blue -2.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +70.0|Blue -70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Chad LapriseTargetBryan Barberena
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Chad Laprise edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns0
Control0:00
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Bryan Barberena edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns0
Control0:02
32Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Bryan Barberena edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:08
40Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:33Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
