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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Russell Doane won · S-DEC R3
Elo1355
Elo1491
Russell Doane

Marcus BrimagevsRussell DoaneUFC Prediction Result

UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · Saturday, July 5, 2014Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Russell Doane won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMarcus Brimage: Well-roundedvsRussell Doane: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Russell Doane wins(51.9%)

Actual result: Russell Doane wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Russell Doane at +105 American odds

+$105 profit

$205 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Marcus Brimage has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Marcus Brimage (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Marcus Brimage
Red Corner
VS
Russell Doane
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
1355
Elo
1491
41
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'7"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Marcus BrimageL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Jimy Hettes · Sep 12
L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Apr 13
W
KOvs Jumabieke Tuerxun · Nov 14
L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Jan 15
L
KOvs Jimmie Rivera · Jul 15
latest
Russell Doane
oldest →
L
vs Jerrod Sanders · Jul 15
L
SUBvs Pedro Munhoz · Jul 16
L
SUBvs Mirsad Bektic · Oct 16
W
KOvs Kwan Ho Kwak · Jun 17
L
SUBvs Rani Yahya · Feb 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Marcus BrimageMetricRussell Doane
3.97
Strikes / min
1.75
3.64
Strikes absorbed / min
1.68
56%
Strike defense
53%
0.56
TDs / 15 min
2.11
80%
Takedown defense
52%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.33evenly matched on net striking+0.07

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1529 vs 1516Strikes58.8 vs 43.0Takedowns0.3 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 1.00Form0.1 vs 1.0
Marcus BrimageRussell Doane

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Marcus Brimage(8 fights)Russell Doane(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -136.0|Blue +136.0
Recent Form
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score
Red +3.4|Blue -3.4
Grappler Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff
Red +273.0|Blue -273.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Marcus BrimageTargetRussell Doane

By target zone

9
17% acc · 33%
Head
15
24% acc · 63%
2
67% acc · 7%
Body
8
89% acc · 33%
16
80% acc · 59%
Leg
1
100% acc · 4%

By position

24
34% acc · 89%
Distance
14
23% acc · 58%
3
75% acc · 11%
Clinch
5
100% acc · 21%
0
Ground
5
100% acc · 21%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Marcus Brimage rounds
0
even
2
Russell Doane rounds
Round 1Russell Doane edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:02Control
Round 2Russell Doane edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:16
7Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:35Control
Round 3Marcus Brimage edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns2
Control0:15
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
27 / 75
Sig Strikes
24 / 72
34.3%
Sig Str %
34.7%
33 / 81
Total Strikes
37 / 86
2 / 2
TDs
3 / 9
100%
TD %
44.3%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:31
Ctrl Time
4:37

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Russell Doane8 / 1914 / 251 / 10
1Marcus Brimage3 / 223 / 220 / 00
2Russell Doane7 / 1914 / 272 / 60
2Marcus Brimage13 / 2718 / 320 / 00
3Russell Doane9 / 349 / 340 / 20
3Marcus Brimage11 / 2612 / 272 / 20

Marcus Brimage

StanceSouthpaw
Height64.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights8

Russell Doane

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights8