Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ricky Simon
oldest →L
vs Mario Bautista · Jan 24L
vs Vinicius Oliveira · Jun 24W
KOvs Javid Basharat · Feb 25L
vs Raoni Barcelos · Nov 25D
vs Adrian Yanez · Mar 26 Cameron SmothermanL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Serhiy Sidey · May 25L
KOvs Kai Asakura · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ricky SimonMetricCameron Smotherman
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.87Δ 1.42 — meaningful gap+0.55
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ricky SimonCameron Smotherman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ricky Simon(10 fights)Cameron Smotherman(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +48.6|Blue -48.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +70.0|Blue -70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ricky SimonTargetCameron Smotherman
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Cameron Smotherman rounds
Round 1Ricky Simon edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control4:27
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Ricky Simon edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control2:56
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control1:50
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
