Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Patrick Cummins enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Ovince Saint Preux has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ovince Saint Preux (53.5%).
- Ovince Saint Preux has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ovince Saint Preux
oldest →L
KOvs Tanner Boser · Jun 21W
vs Mauricio Rua · May 22L
KOvs Philipe Lins · Feb 23W
vs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Mar 24L
SUBvs Ryan Spann · Oct 24 Patrick CumminsL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Jan Blachowicz · Apr 17W
vs Gian Villante · Jul 17L
vs Corey Anderson · Apr 18L
SUBvs Misha Cirkunov · Oct 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ovince Saint PreuxMetricPatrick Cummins
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.30Δ 1.21 — meaningful gap+0.91
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ovince Saint PreuxPatrick Cummins
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ovince Saint Preux(10 fights)Patrick Cummins(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +124.3|Blue -124.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +42.0|Blue -42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ovince Saint PreuxTargetPatrick Cummins
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Ovince Saint Preux rounds
Round 1Ovince Saint Preux edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:04
Knockdowns1
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:48Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
