Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Douglas Silva de Andrade has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Lerone Murphy has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Lerone Murphy
oldest →W
vs Edson Barboza · May 24W
KOvs Aaron Pico · Aug 25L
vs Movsar Evloev · Mar 26 Douglas Silva de AndradeL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Sergey Morozov · Feb 22L
vs Said Nurmagomedov · Jul 22W
vs Cody Stamann · May 23L
KOvs Javier Reyes · Feb 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Lerone MurphyMetricDouglas Silva de Andrade
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.69Δ 2.24 — meaningful gap-0.55
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Lerone MurphyDouglas Silva de Andrade
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Lerone Murphy(10 fights)Douglas Silva de Andrade(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +49.8|Blue -49.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.6|Blue +1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -242.0|Blue +242.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Lerone MurphyTargetDouglas Silva de Andrade
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Douglas Silva de Andrade rounds
Round 1Lerone Murphy edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:20
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:05Control
Round 3Lerone Murphy edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns1
Control1:31
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:10Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
