Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Carlos Eduardo Rocha threatens submissions; Kris McCray has lost 67% of fights by sub.
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kris McCrayL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Court McGee · Jun 10L
vs John Hathaway · Mar 11 Carlos Eduardo RochaL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Jake Ellenberger · Feb 11 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kris McCrayMetricCarlos Eduardo Rocha
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.12evenly matched on net striking-0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Kris McCrayCarlos Eduardo Rocha
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kris McCray(3 fights)Carlos Eduardo Rocha(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Kris McCrayTargetCarlos Eduardo Rocha
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Carlos Eduardo Rocha rounds
Round 1Kris McCray edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns2
Control1:30
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:24Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
