Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Lacerda enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Victor Altamirano enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Victor Altamirano is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Daniel Lacerda has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Victor Altamirano has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Victor Altamirano has 63pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daniel LacerdaL4 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Jeff Molina · Oct 21L
SUBvs Francisco Figueiredo · Apr 22L
KOvs CJ Vergara · Mar 23L
SUBvs Edgar Chairez · Feb 24 Victor AltamiranoL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Carlos Hernandez · Feb 22W
vs Vinicius Salvador · Mar 23L
vs Felipe dos Santos · Feb 24L
vs Daniel Barez · Sep 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daniel LacerdaMetricVictor Altamirano
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-4.33Δ 5.09 — meaningful gap+0.76
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Daniel LacerdaVictor Altamirano
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daniel Lacerda(5 fights)Victor Altamirano(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -7.2|Blue +7.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -63.0|Blue +63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Daniel LacerdaTargetVictor Altamirano
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Victor Altamirano rounds
Round 1Victor Altamirano edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:03
Knockdowns1
58Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:55Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
