Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marlon Moraes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Song Yadong has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marlon MoraesL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Henry Cejudo · Jun 19L
KOvs Cory Sandhagen · Oct 20L
KOvs Merab Dvalishvili · Sep 21 Song Yadong
oldest →W
vs Chris Gutierrez · Dec 23W
vs Henry Cejudo · Feb 25L
vs Sean O'Malley · Jan 26W
SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marlon MoraesMetricSong Yadong
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.16Δ 1.64 — meaningful gap+0.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Marlon MoraesSong Yadong
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marlon Moraes(10 fights)Song Yadong(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -98.3|Blue +98.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.4|Blue +1.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +49.0|Blue -49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Marlon MoraesTargetSong Yadong
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Song Yadong edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
