Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gauge Young has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Evan Elder (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Evan ElderW2 streak
oldest →L
vs Preston Parsons · Apr 22L
KOvs Nazim Sadykhov · Feb 23W
vs Genaro Valdez · Jul 23W
SUBvs Darrius Flowers · Jul 24 latest Gauge YoungW2 streak
oldest →W
DECvs Thiago Moises · Apr 26 latest Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Evan ElderMetricGauge Young
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.72evenly matched on net striking+1.20
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Evan ElderGauge Young
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Evan Elder(5 fights)Gauge Young(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -8.7|Blue +8.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Evan ElderTargetGauge Young
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Evan Elder edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns0
Control0:16
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 2Evan Elder edged it
Sig. strikes40
Takedowns0
Control0:00
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Evan Elder edged it
Sig. strikes40
Takedowns0
Control0:00
36Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.