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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Jeremy Kennedy won · U-DEC R3
Elo1360
Rony Jason
Elo1491
Jeremy Kennedy

Rony JasonvsJeremy KennedyUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · Saturday, March 11, 2017Fortaleza, Ceara, Brazil

Official fight result

Jeremy Kennedy won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Jeremy Kennedy wins(80.2%)

Actual result: Jeremy Kennedy wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jeremy Kennedy at -125 American odds

+$80 profit

$180 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jeremy Kennedy has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Rony Jason
Red Corner
VS
Jeremy Kennedy
Blue Corner
+105
(49%)
Vegas Odds
-125
(56%)
1360
Elo
1491
42
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'11"
185.42 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rony JasonL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Mike Wilkinson · Jun 13
L
KOvs Jeremy Stephens · Nov 13
W
KOvs Steven Siler · Mar 14
L
vs Robert Peralta · May 14
L
vs Dennis Bermudez · Aug 16
latest
Jeremy Kennedy
oldest →
W
DECvs Alessandro Ricci · Aug 16
W
vs Kyle Bochniak · Jul 17
L
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Feb 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rony JasonMetricJeremy Kennedy
2.04
Strikes / min
2.22
3.14
Strikes absorbed / min
2.58
53%
Strike defense
47%
0.59
TDs / 15 min
5.73
36%
Takedown defense
66%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.10evenly matched on net striking-0.36

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1515 vs 1519Strikes17.1 vs 27.0Takedowns0.4 vs 5.0Sub Atts0.50 vs 0.00Form-0.7 vs 1.0
Rony JasonJeremy Kennedy

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Rony Jason(8 fights)Jeremy Kennedy(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -131.4|Blue +131.4
Recent Form
Red -1.7|Blue +1.7
Striker Score
Red +1.6|Blue -1.6
Grappler Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rony JasonTargetJeremy Kennedy

By target zone

14
47% acc · 78%
Head
44
62% acc · 96%
3
60% acc · 17%
Body
1
50% acc · 2%
1
100% acc · 6%
Leg
1
100% acc · 2%

By position

11
42% acc · 61%
Distance
13
37% acc · 28%
0
Clinch
2
50% acc · 4%
7
70% acc · 39%
Ground
31
89% acc · 67%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Rony Jason rounds
0
even
2
Jeremy Kennedy rounds
Round 1Jeremy Kennedy edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:37
15Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
2:40Control
Round 2Rony Jason edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control3:16
Knockdowns1
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 3Jeremy Kennedy edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
5Takedowns
3:58Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
18 / 36
Sig Strikes
46 / 74
51%
Sig Str %
61.7%
95 / 116
Total Strikes
105 / 143
0 / 1
TDs
8 / 9
0%
TD %
87.5%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
3:53
Ctrl Time
6:38

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Jeremy Kennedy15 / 2835 / 513 / 40
1Rony Jason6 / 1320 / 280 / 10
2Jeremy Kennedy11 / 2123 / 330 / 00
2Rony Jason8 / 1651 / 590 / 00
3Jeremy Kennedy20 / 2547 / 595 / 50
3Rony Jason4 / 724 / 290 / 00

Rony Jason

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8

Jeremy Kennedy

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4